Home Logon FTA Investment Managers Blog Subscribe About Us Contact Us

Search by Ticker, Keyword or CUSIP       
 
 

Blog Home
   Brian Wesbury
Chief Economist
 
Bio
X •  LinkedIn
   Bob Stein
Deputy Chief Economist
Bio
X •  LinkedIn
 
  Payrolls Consistently Revised Upward
Posted Under: Data Watch • Employment
Supporting Image for Blog Post

 
On the first Friday of every month the Labor Department issues its report on payrolls in the month that just ended.  That month's report is then revised twice in the following two months.  By paying attention to those revisions one gets a much more complete picture of what's happening in the economy.  Historically, upward revisions have been a sign that a recovery is becoming more stable.  The consistent upward revisions so evident in the table above suggest this is happening again. 
 
From November 2010 through September 2011, the first report on payrolls each month has averaged 102,000.  By contrast, the third report has averaged 134,000.  Revisions for both August and September have made a world of difference.  August payrolls were originally reported unchanged.  Literally, zero net jobs in August.  In the next two months, though, this was revised to a perfectly acceptable 104,000.  September, which was originally reported 103,000 has since been revised to a strong 210,000.  October has already been revised up from an original report of 80,000 to 100,000, with one more revision to go. 
Posted on Tuesday, December 6, 2011 @ 4:35 PM • Post Link Print this post Printer Friendly

These posts were prepared by First Trust Advisors L.P., and reflect the current opinion of the authors. They are based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security.
Search Posts
 PREVIOUS POSTS
Retailers Running Lean and Mean
ISM services index down slightly, but details show strength
Economy Improving, Stocks Cheap
Payrolls beat expectations in November; Private payrolls up 182K including revisions
Wesbury 101 - "The Bulls Look Good"
The ISM manufacturing index increased to 52.7 in November
Europe – No More Tricks in the Keynesian Bag
Nonfarm productivity (output per hour) rose at a 2.3% annual rate in the third quarter
New home sales up 1.3% in October
Occupy The Shopping Mall
Archive
Skip Navigation Links.
Expand 20242024
Expand 20232023
Expand 20222022
Expand 20212021
Expand 20202020
Expand 20192019
Expand 20182018
Expand 20172017
Expand 20162016
Expand 20152015
Expand 20142014
Expand 20132013
Expand 20122012
Expand 20112011
Expand 20102010

Search by Topic
Skip Navigation Links.

 
The information presented is not intended to constitute an investment recommendation for, or advice to, any specific person. By providing this information, First Trust is not undertaking to give advice in any fiduciary capacity within the meaning of ERISA, the Internal Revenue Code or any other regulatory framework. Financial professionals are responsible for evaluating investment risks independently and for exercising independent judgment in determining whether investments are appropriate for their clients.
Follow First Trust:  
First Trust Portfolios L.P.  Member SIPC and FINRA. (Form CRS)   •  First Trust Advisors L.P. (Form CRS)
Home |  Important Legal Information |  Privacy Policy |  California Privacy Policy |  Business Continuity Plan |  FINRA BrokerCheck
Copyright © 2024 All rights reserved.