Home Logon FTA Investment Managers Blog Subscribe About Us Contact Us

Search by Ticker, Keyword or CUSIP       
 
 

Blog Home
   Brian Wesbury
Chief Economist
 
Bio
X •  LinkedIn
   Bob Stein
Deputy Chief Economist
Bio
X •  LinkedIn
 
  Industrial Production Rose 0.4% in August
Posted Under: Data Watch • Industrial Production - Cap Utilization
Supporting Image for Blog Post

 

Implications:  Industrial production extended its gains in August, posting its third consecutive month of growth to set a new record high.  Industrial production data counts "units" of output, and is therefore a proxy for "real" growth.  Taken as a whole, the August data suggests the recent strength in real GDP growth is sustainable.  Looking closer at the details of today's report shows that manufacturing, which makes up the largest part of overall production, rose 0.2% in August.  However, the gain was entirely due to a 4.1% jump in the volatile auto production series.  Excluding autos, manufacturing growth would have been flat, according to the Federal Reserve.  That said, in the past year manufacturing activity is up 3.2%, while manufacturing ex-autos is up 2.8%, both of which represent the fastest 12-month increase since 2012 for their respective series.  This demonstrates that the strength in overall manufacturing isn't just about the recent surge in auto production.  Meanwhile, mining grew for the seventh month in a row to eclipse its prior peak in 2014, before a decline in oil prices reduced activity.  Mining is now up 14.2% from a year ago, its largest 12 month gain since 1959!  This comes as new information from the EIA shows the United States has just surpassed Russia and Saudi Arabia as the largest producer of crude oil in the world.  Notably, this is all being done with roughly half the number of drilling rigs as before the 2014-2015 oil price crash, demonstrating the massive improvements in productivity that have occurred in just a few years.  

Click here for PDF version

Posted on Friday, September 14, 2018 @ 11:53 AM • Post Link Print this post Printer Friendly

These posts were prepared by First Trust Advisors L.P., and reflect the current opinion of the authors. They are based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security.
Search Posts
 PREVIOUS POSTS
Retail sales rose 0.1% in August
The Consumer Price Index Rose 0.2% in August
Wage Growth Steps Up
M2 and C&I Loan Growth
Nonfarm Payrolls Rose 201,000 in August
The ISM Non-Manufacturing Index Rose to 58.5 in August
The Trade Deficit in Goods and Services Came in at $50.1 Billion in July
The Kevlar Economy
The ISM Manufacturing Index Rose to 61.3 in August
The Week Ahead
Archive
Skip Navigation Links.
Expand 20242024
Expand 20232023
Expand 20222022
Expand 20212021
Expand 20202020
Expand 20192019
Expand 20182018
Expand 20172017
Expand 20162016
Expand 20152015
Expand 20142014
Expand 20132013
Expand 20122012
Expand 20112011
Expand 20102010

Search by Topic
Skip Navigation Links.

 
The information presented is not intended to constitute an investment recommendation for, or advice to, any specific person. By providing this information, First Trust is not undertaking to give advice in any fiduciary capacity within the meaning of ERISA, the Internal Revenue Code or any other regulatory framework. Financial professionals are responsible for evaluating investment risks independently and for exercising independent judgment in determining whether investments are appropriate for their clients.
Follow First Trust:  
First Trust Portfolios L.P.  Member SIPC and FINRA. (Form CRS)   •  First Trust Advisors L.P. (Form CRS)
Home |  Important Legal Information |  Privacy Policy |  California Privacy Policy |  Business Continuity Plan |  FINRA BrokerCheck
Copyright © 2024 All rights reserved.